Couch Investor: Aktien-Analysen & Empfehlungen

The YouTuber advises avoiding Adobe despite its low valuation and strong financials, citing significant leadership transitions (CEO and CFO leaving without replacements) and a strategic shift towards a freemium model. These factors create too many uncertainties and questions for the market, leading to a lack of positive momentum for the stock.

“Unless you start answering a lot of the market's questions or you really really start to reacelerate growth by quite a lot, you are not getting any love from the market right now.” — ▶ 12:00

The YouTuber suggests buying Oracle, stating that its recent stock drop is an overreaction to a strong earnings report. He highlights significant backlog growth, strong cloud revenue, and positive forward guidance, arguing that the market is misinterpreting increased capex and debt as negatives rather than investments for future growth and revenue recognition.

“Right now Oracle again good quarter good guidance overreaction by the market but as you know the market right now is headline driven.” — ▶ 13:00

The YouTuber expresses high conviction in Coreweave, noting its close ties to Nvidia and Oracle. He believes the market is waiting for the next quarter to confirm that margins have bottomed out and are beginning to rise, which he expects will lead to a significant stock jump.

“It's the one that's really attached to to Oracle's move. So to me, Cororeweave Nebuse, there's also a reason why Nvidia invested in these businesses, works quite closely with these businesses.” — ▶ 09:00

The YouTuber states he will buy more shares of Coreweave if it drops below $100, as he previously sold shares at a higher price and believes it's a good opportunity to re-accumulate. He implies the company's fundamentals remain strong despite short-term price movements.

“But if we do drop a little bit lower then I will be picking up a little bit more shares. So basically the ones that I sold not that long ago at a higher price.” — ▶ 2:00

The YouTuber suggests that if Google's stock price drops closer to $300-$320, it could present a very good buying opportunity. This is based on the current AI sell-off creating potential dips in major tech names, despite the underlying strength of the AI buildout.

“Hopefully, who knows? May maybe we could get Google closer to $300, $320. Who knows? That that might be a very, very good deal.” — ▶ 02:00

The YouTuber is interested in buying more Google shares if the price drops further, specifically if it fills the earnings gap and potentially reaches around $350. He notes that the 200-day moving average is around $300, which would be an ideal entry point, indicating a belief in the company's long-term prospects despite recent dilution news.

“Hopefully I do get to buy even more Google if it drops lower.” — ▶ 13:00

The YouTuber owns Uber and plans to add more shares, believing it should be a $100 stock. He argues that Uber's current growth and profitability make it significantly undervalued compared to private companies like Waymo. He dismisses the risk of Waymo and Tesla dominating 90%+ of the mobility market, highlighting Uber's global partnerships and strategic investments in AV players as key to its long-term success.

“I own it and I will be adding more shares. Uber is right around $70 per share, $142 billion in market cap. I think Whimo was priced quite close to this and Whimo of course does not generate $53 billion in revenue or X billions of dollars in free cash flow.” — ▶ 11:30

The YouTuber has Uber on his buy list if it drops into the low $70s. He considers Uber undervalued, very profitable, and a winner benefiting from AI efficiencies and autonomous vehicles, consistently outperforming expectations.

“Uber in the low70s is also on my buy list.” — ▶ 4:00

The YouTuber considers Uber to be one of the undervalued names, expecting it to eventually make a significant move upwards after a period of slow growth, similar to other companies he has observed.

“Do think that Uber is also one of those undervalued names. It's one that's moving very very slowly. It's going to move slowly and then all at once just like a lot of other companies that we've looked at.” — ▶ 5:30

The YouTuber considers Meta a 'no-brainer' below $600, arguing that its strong fundamentals (over $200 billion revenue, 30% growth, profitable core business) are overshadowed by narrative. He believes the company can monetize AI through subscription services and that its low forward P/E of 17x makes it an attractive investment.

“Meta to me again under $600 at $600 is a no-brainer because with Meta right now the story is more about narrative than what the actual company does.” — ▶ 05:00

The YouTuber remains very bullish on Meta, despite recent headlines about potential dilution for AI investments causing a stock drop. He believes Meta is extremely undervalued and that diluting shares at current prices would be unwise, but acknowledges the company's strong AI potential.

“I am still very bullish on Meta. But more recently, there have been a couple of headlines that of course kicked the stock a little bit lower.” — ▶ 10:20

The YouTuber believes Meta is still very cheap despite its size, with a valuation that doesn't make sense given its potential to monetize AI. He expects the market to eventually recognize this, leading to significant upside from current levels.

“Meta in my opinion at even at this size, it just I don't know, valuation just doesn't make any sense to me. We've talked about that time and time again. So, I'm not going to repeat myself. I think it's going to happen sooner rather than later where the market is going to realize that oh, they actually can monetize AI in multiple ways.” — ▶ Clip ansehen

The YouTuber believes Meta's valuation around $600 is very attractive, especially given its strong progress in AI models like Muspark and its clear monetization strategy through B2B and B2C AI agents. They argue that once the market fully recognizes this, the stock could quickly surpass $800, with a potential price target of $930 within 12 months.

“I think Meta around $600. the valuation is just way too attractive to start looking at maybe some other more speculative names right now because I do feel that once the market figures this out once there is a flip we are going to go quite quickly over $800 maybe here can accord price target is $930 probably over the next 12 months” — ▶ 12:00

The YouTuber believes Meta is undervalued, trading at a low 20s P/E despite strong revenue growth (close to 30%) and a core business that is performing well. He argues that the market is not fully recognizing Meta's investments in AI and its strong underlying business, expecting the stock to eventually be re-rated higher.

“To me it's just a matter of time until the market recognizes that what they are doing with Meta stock right now does not make any sense. a low 20 PE for this company over 20 what 14 billion dollars in revenue generated growing close to 30% it doesn't make much sense.” — ▶ 05:00

The YouTuber expresses a desire to accumulate more shares of Meta if the price drops to around $600, viewing it as a great business available at a cheap valuation. He believes Meta is well-positioned because its LLM will enhance its core business and ecosystem, and it benefits from a large user base and distribution.

“if I can accumulate more shares of Meta at around $600 per share, $1.33 trillion, while we're getting into a SpaceX IPO, that's going to be closer to 2 trillion. While a lot of companies are trading at super high premium, super high multiples, you can get this great business for very cheap.” — ▶ 3:00

The YouTuber believes Meta is extremely undervalued and expects it to reach closer to $1,000 per share within the next 12 months. This suggests a strong conviction in the company's future performance and current valuation.

“I still think Meta is extremely undervalued and I do think that over a past, that's again my opinion, over the next 12 months or so, we should be closer to $1,000 per share.” — ▶ 4:40

The YouTuber believes Meta is undervalued, comparing it to Google in 2015, and highlights its fast growth despite being a cheap company. He argues that the market is underestimating Meta's internal AI investments and the potential for new subscription services to generate significant high-margin revenue, citing Snapchat's success with a similar model. He also suggests that Meta could eventually monetize its compute infrastructure, further boosting its value.

“I do think this is like Google in 2025. It's a cheap company that is growing fast.” — ▶ 10:00

The YouTuber plans to increase his already large position in Google, especially if the price drops further. He highlights Google's vertical integration, ecosystem control, and current profitability, which allows it to undercut competition. He also cites a TD Cowen note with a $475 price target, based on expected Google Cloud and AI revenue growth, and believes Google will return to pre-AI capex profitability levels long-term.

“The lower these things go, the more I will increase my already quite big position on Google. Why is that? Yes, it's not about the multibagger potential, but it's about making sure that I do have super big winners AI or not.” — ▶ 07:40

The YouTuber views Google as a strong contender to be a major winner in the AI space, with an almost impossible-to-disrupt ecosystem. While currently near all-time highs, he would add to his position if the stock experiences a significant pullback, potentially to $350 or even $300.

“Google, if we do go back down, maybe 350, maybe, who knows, maybe there is going to be a huge gift given to us and we go back to $300, then yes, I will be buying more.” — ▶ Clip ansehen

The YouTuber believes Amazon is a 'buy and forget' stock, seeing it as a $300 per share company. Despite its current high capex, he expects AWS acceleration, driven by partnerships with companies like Anthropic and OpenAI, to boost profitability. He also anticipates higher margins from Amazon's advertising, subscription, and third-party seller services, and increased efficiency in the logistics network through robotics and AI.

“I still think that Amazon is a $300 per share company. It's a $2.6 trillion company. PE wise it is still more expensive than a Google more expensive than a Meta than an Nvidia etc.” — ▶ 09:40

The YouTuber initiated a small position in Reddit, citing its undervaluation, fast growth, profitability, and positive free cash flow. He believes the AI licensing deals are not yet priced into the stock and that advertising revenue per user will increase as the platform improves. Recent positive analyst notes from Piper Sandler and Cleveland Research, highlighting improved ad spend and customer activity, further support his bullish stance.

“In my opinion, it's undervalued, a bit misunderstood because yes, the model is quite similar to what we've seen with a meta for example. But here you do also have one monetization stage is still very early compared to meta. Two, we have the AI licensing deals that of course still early on. I do think that is not priced into the stock right now.” — ▶ 01:00

The YouTuber is considering opening a position in Reddit if there's a broader market selloff. He views Reddit as undervalued, a pure beneficiary of AI, the sixth most visited website globally, growing quickly with increasing free cash flow, and expects significant AI licensing deals. He believes it could become a $100 billion company.

“And so if we do have a broader selloff over the next couple of days, maybe next couple of weeks, then yes, Reddit is definitely one of those names where I could look at it and say, you know what, maybe it is time to open a position in that company.” — ▶ 8:50

The YouTuber sees Reddit as a rapidly growing and increasingly profitable company, currently undervalued at $33.3 billion. He highlights its strategic positioning as a foundational resource for AI models, which he believes the market is not fully pricing in, and suggests it could become a $100 billion company.

“I don't think the market is fully pricing that in. And of course, again, this is just a company worth $33.3 billion. Could this potentially be a hundred billion company in the future? I think so.” — ▶ Clip ansehen

The YouTuber is considering buying Reddit, noting its rapid growth in revenue and free cash flow, despite recent stock performance. They highlight its potential for AI licensing deals due to its unique human-generated data. While acknowledging it's not a deep value play, they see it as the 'cheapest of the bunch' among their potential buys.

“Moving on to the next one, and that's Reddit. Reddit year to date is down 40.2%, but over the past 12 months, it's still up 38.3%.” — ▶ 10:00

The YouTuber is considering selling his position in Shift4 due to a lack of business and stock momentum, despite believing it's a good and cheap company. He prefers to reallocate capital to companies with stronger business performance and stock momentum, even if it means buying back into Shift4 at a higher price later if its fortunes improve.

“Lastly, we need to talk about a name where I might just take my losses and revisit it when we actually have some momentum, and that's Shift 4.” — ▶ 14:40

The YouTuber is considering selling Shift4, despite believing it's undervalued, because the market is not rewarding it, momentum is lacking, and guidance doesn't inspire confidence. He prefers to reallocate capital to companies with better momentum and clearer growth trajectories, even if it means taking a 46% loss.

“if I have to decide on whether I'd like to buy maybe more Axon, more new, more Uber or Netflix and sell shift 4, then yes, I would say, you know what, I'm taking a hit here, 46%.” — ▶ 5:20

The YouTuber believes Netflix is undervalued and still fairly valued, benefiting from AI efficiencies. Despite not seeing significant stock movement this year after an initial pump, he sees it as a strong candidate for investment.

“Netflix, I think a Netflix benefits from that. Yet, the stock didn't really move that much uh this year, right? Still fairly valued and actually undervalued.” — ▶ 6:30

The YouTuber considers Netflix a 'forgotten name' that is attractively valued at $81 per share, expecting it to become stronger and more profitable with the help of AI. He believes it will beat the market over the coming years, despite not being a high-growth AI/semiconductor play.

“I think Netflix is a forgotten name right now just because they don't build data centers just because they don't have chips or memory or AI let's say although I'm pretty sure that they're using AI but it's one of those names where it's a very strong company.” — ▶ Clip ansehen

The YouTuber is highly bullish on Mercado Libre, citing its consistent high revenue growth (49% in Q1 2026) and the vast untapped market in Latin America. They believe the company's current investment cycle, which temporarily compresses margins, is a strategic move to unlock significant long-term growth by expanding its customer base and ecosystem, similar to Amazon's early playbook. The executive interviewed suggests the company could become a trillion-dollar entity, implying a 10x growth from its current valuation, and highlights the market's underappreciation of its long-term growth potential.

“I think that if you factor factor that in even with reduced margins the opportunity is immense and it's a screaming buy.” — ▶ 40:00

The YouTuber views Rubric as a strong buy if it pulls back to $70 or less, despite its recent post-earnings dip. He highlights an excellent quarter with beats across the board, raised guidance, and strong growth in ARR and free cash flow, indicating the company is moving in the right direction faster than expected.

“But to me, if we again go back to $70 or maybe even less, this is again going to be a buy for me. This is a company worth a little bit less than $15 billion. Valuation wise, as you know, cyber security names are definitely not the cheap ones out there, but this is one that is growing very, very quickly top and also bottom lines.” — ▶ Clip ansehen

The YouTuber is very bullish on Rubric, owning the stock due to its position in the growing cybersecurity market, especially in the age of AI. He expects the company to continue beating expectations and grow rapidly, despite its current unprofitability and high valuation, believing it has a strong business model and market share potential.

“I'm very bullish on this name which is why I own it. What will happen after they report earnings? I don't know. I guess we'll see over the next couple of days, but I do think that the business is doing extremely well.” — ▶ 16:00

The YouTuber believes SoFi is extremely undervalued, highlighting its favorable risk-reward profile with significant upside potential in the base case. He acknowledges the lack of momentum compared to AI names but maintains conviction that it will eventually perform well.

“I still think this company is extremely undervalued. Here, the riskreward profile is probably one of the best out there. If you look at the bare case, that's only 4.3% downside. the base case 55.9% upside and the bull case 125.5% upside.” — ▶ Clip ansehen

The YouTuber added 200 shares of SoFi at around $16 per share, indicating a belief that it is undervalued at that price point. He states that SoFi is back to being his third-largest holding, suggesting continued confidence in the company's long-term prospects.

“because I did add another 200 shares of SoFi at around $16 per share which was on well May 26 200 shares an increase of 6.91% to my position” — ▶ 4:00

The YouTuber believes SoFi has bottomed out and is undervalued, with a fair value closer to $22-$23. He argues that a shift in market sentiment towards no rate hikes in 2026 would benefit SoFi, as it thrives in a lower rate environment. Additionally, SoFi's new stablecoin offering, leveraging its banking license, positions it uniquely in the digital asset space, allowing it to grow faster than traditional banks and justify a higher PE multiple.

“As you've seen with the DCF, I do believe that fair value sits much closer to 22 $23 right now. Could actually be a little bit higher as well.” — ▶ 5:00

The YouTuber bought more SoFi shares, citing CEO Anthony Noto's reported interest in buying leaps as a positive indicator. This suggests confidence in the company's future prospects.

“I did already buy more SoFi because hey if Anthony Noto is looking at buying leaps then one I should maybe also go and buy leaps and two I could start by just buying more shares which is what I did today.” — ▶ 00:19

The YouTuber is buying more shares of Nu, viewing the recent 8% drop due to a CFO transition as an opportunity. He argues that Nu is not priced to perfection, has a strong business growing rapidly in its core Latin American markets, and even a small success in its US expansion could significantly impact the business. He maintains conviction in the company's long-term trajectory and CEO's vision.

“So to me, I'm going to buy more shares of new personally because I still believe in a long-term trajectory of this business of the vision of the CEO as well.” — ▶ 12:00

The YouTuber initiated a new position in Axon, buying 20 shares at around $392, citing its exposure to drones, physical AI, and defense. He highlights its rapid growth, expanding total addressable market, and expected future profitability, despite its premium valuation. He also notes its strong competitive moat through proprietary hardware and government security clearances.

“I bought 20 shares of Axon at 300 and close to $92 per share. Very good timing because the next day the stock went up quite a lot on that drone announcement or report from the US government. And of course, drones is now part of Axon's business.” — ▶ 6:20

The YouTuber is trending towards buying Axon, viewing it as a high-growth company with a near-monopoly in its segments (connected devices and software/services). Despite its current valuation, they believe it's becoming 'less expensive' and offers a good opportunity for long-term investors, especially given its strong revenue growth and increasing software contribution to margins. They also like that it diversifies their portfolio away from existing holdings.

“In my case, yes, it is looking at an Axon, a Reddit, and a Shopify.” — ▶ 06:00

The YouTuber is considering buying Shopify, praising its world-class management and its ability to leverage AI to improve its platform and user experience. They highlight its consistently strong GMV growth and believe it has a large total addressable market, with potential to become a $500 billion company in the future. They note it's 'less expensive' now, though not undervalued.

“Lastly, and that's Shopify. Now, I've covered Shopify not that long ago, so I won't really spend that much time here.” — ▶ 15:00

The YouTuber took profits on Micron, selling 50% of their remaining position after an 880% gain. While acknowledging its potential to go higher, they prefer to de-risk and reallocate to other opportunities, citing concerns about memory market cyclicality and potential margin compression from software efficiencies.

“I did take some profits of Micron around 50% actually of what was left of that position. Why is that? Well, I'm quite happy with the returns.” — ▶ 00:35

The YouTuber took profits on AMD, selling around 56% of their position. They acknowledge it could go higher but are content with current returns and maintain some exposure.

“They'll also take around 56% of profit from AMD because AMD is now $53 per share. Can it go higher? Of course it can, which is why I'm still exposed to that name.” — ▶ 00:50