Amazon (AMZN) Aktie: Kaufen oder nicht? — Finanz-YouTuber-Analyse

The YouTuber is extremely bullish on Amazon, considering it his favorite stock for long-term investors due to its attractive valuation and ongoing transformation. He highlights its strong revenue growth, significant operating margin expansion, and its shift from an e-commerce company to an AI infrastructure, cloud, and advertising platform. He believes AWS's high margins, the growth of Amazon advertising, and robotics automation will drive further profitability and stock price appreciation. He has a price target of $362 per share.

“My price target for Amazon is right around $362 per share. That was just based off of a financial model that I personally made that I spent all basically weekend doing.” — ▶ 45:00

Henry sees Amazon as undervalued, noting its underperformance relative to the S&P 500 over the last five years. He highlights significant operating margin expansion (from 5-6% to 13%), strong revenue growth, and its transformation from an e-commerce company to an AI infrastructure, cloud, and advertising platform.

“The main shift is from e-commerce. Okay, they were focused heavy on e-commerce and they still are. But now there's a shift from ecom company to AI infrastructure company.” — ▶ 18:00

The YouTuber is bullish on Amazon due to its attractive valuation, despite recent underperformance. They highlight significant revenue growth, improved operating margins (from 5-6% to 13%), and the company's evolution into a hybrid infrastructure, cloud, and ad platform business. The low P/E ratio relative to its growth and profitability makes it a 'stupid cheap' opportunity.

“The market cap sitting under three billion is stupid cheap. And mark my words, just like Google is racing to become the most valuable company in the world ahead of Nvidia, Amazon is going to play the same game before you know it.” — ▶ Clip ansehen

The YouTuber plans to roll his deep in-the-money Amazon covered call from a $230 strike to a $250 strike, extending the expiration to December. He is willing to pay a small debit of around $1,000 for this adjustment, as it unlocks $30,000 in potential upside if Amazon continues to rise, significantly improving his position while retaining the stock.

“I would go from 230 to 250. That's my plan. Um, you know, I'll probably execute on this in the near future and take this position higher in terms of strike, which will unlock value for me.” — ▶ 12:50

The YouTuber believes Amazon is a phenomenal business with strong bull cases in advertising, North American retail profitability, and AWS growth. However, he finds its current price of $245 to be fair value based on his conservative assumptions, not offering the 15% return he seeks. He would only consider buying if the price drops significantly lower to provide a sufficient discount.

“The stock is currently at 245. I have a low price of 107, high price of 485. And guys, 245 in the middle, 240, it's basically, in my opinion, selling for what it's worth. Now, that's my analysis of it. You might disagree.” — ▶ 17:40

The YouTuber holds Amazon, highlighting its strong AWS growth (24% last quarter) and increasing in-house chip production, which reduces reliance on external manufacturers. Other growth drivers include the advertising business (22% growth with high margins) and the new satellite internet service, Amazon Kuiper, projected to add $20 billion in annual revenue by 2030. While not a 'bargain' at a forward P/E of 27 and PEG of 1.47, the diversified growth avenues and strong projected 18% annual earnings growth make it a long-term hold.

“Die dritte Aktie ist Amazon und bereits eine meiner größten Positionen in meinem Depot.” — ▶ 6:40

The YouTuber holds Amazon, which is their third-largest position with 52% gains. No specific new reasons are given beyond it being a significant holding in their growth portfolio.

“Die drittgrößte Position ist Amazon mit 52% Kursgewinn.” — ▶ Clip ansehen