Walmart (WMT) Aktie: Kaufen oder nicht? Die Finanz-YouTuber-Analyse

Walmart is highlighted as a company that has successfully bridged traditional retail with online sales, with 20% of its revenue now coming from online channels due to technology investments. This adaptability and growth in e-commerce make it a compelling investment in the retail segment.

“Walmart hat eigentlich als Unternehmen sehr, sehr gut geschafft in den letzten paar Jahren die die diese Brücke zwischen Brick and Mort Retail, also klassisches Kaufhaus oder Department Store und Onlinebereich auszubauen.” — ▶ 21:20

The YouTuber recommends buying Walmart, citing that as a massive importer, the reduction in tariffs will significantly decrease their input costs. This provides a meaningful margin benefit, similar to other consumer discretionary retailers, despite the new replacement tariffs.

“With EA tariffs completely gone, their input costs just dropped significantly. So now, yes, there's still this 15% global tariff that's under this new authority, but that's a meaningful reduction from where things were.” — ▶ 5:40

The YouTuber identifies Walmart as a top performer during past market pullbacks, noting its consistent resilience. Walmart's low-price strategy makes it attractive to consumers during economic downturns, leading to less volatility compared to other companies.

“And the one stock that stood out better than all the others consistently was Walmart. They had the least reaction compared to all the others. And it's no surprise since Walmart is known for their low prices, and that's what everyone needs during these bad times.” — ▶ 16:40

The YouTuber recommends Walmart as a solid stock to own, especially during inflationary periods and recessions, due to its renowned low-price model. He notes its consistent outperformance of the S&P 500 over the last one, three, and five years, and its dividend yield of 1.18%.

“Walmart is a solid stock to own for both the good and the bad times given that they have the best prices in town they will always have a lot of Shoppers that rely on them especially during a recession” — ▶ 09:30

The YouTuber advises avoiding Walmart due to its high valuation of nearly 50x earnings, which is double the market average. Despite being perceived as a safe haven, its earnings growth has been modest (5% annually over the last 3 years), making its current valuation unsustainable.

“De hecho, la gente se está beneficiando en eh refugiando, perdón, en acciones como Walmart a más de 50 veces beneficios, que es el doble de valoración, el doble de caro de lo que cotiza la bolsa, porque hay pocos sitios de grandes compañías para refugiarse que la gente se sienta segura.” — ▶ 26:50

The YouTuber argues that Walmart is currently overvalued, trading at a P/E ratio of 46.6 while its revenue and earnings are only growing at about 5% annually. He believes that despite being considered a 'safe' stock, its current valuation makes it a risky investment, especially compared to its low growth rate.

“Walmart stock is selling for a 46.6 price to earnings ratio at the same time as the business is growing roughly 5% per year. This is an extremely high price to pay for a business that isn't really growing that much.” — ▶ 9:00

The YouTuber holds a significant position in Walmart, viewing its business model as similar to SoFi's, where good prices on groceries attract customers who then purchase more profitable items. He expects Walmart to have good profits and growth in 2025 and plans to maintain his large position.

“Walmart is doing this in even more sneaky way. Essentially, you come in, you buy groceries, and they have really good prices on groceries, and they don't really make that much money on groceries, but then people that end up buying groceries end up buying more products from Walmart.” — ▶ Clip ansehen

The YouTuber is very bullish on Walmart, viewing it as a 'must-own' stock due to its massive retail footprint, dominant grocery business (using the 'Sofi model' to upsell customers), and growing e-commerce presence. He highlights its heavy investment in AI, automation, and private label brands for efficiency, and its expanding advertising business (Walmart Connect) and healthcare initiatives (Walmart Health) as significant growth drivers. He also notes its recession-proof nature and current valuation after a pullback.

“I'm very bullish on Walmart and this is a stock that I'm buying right now going into April which is not only a grow stock but it's also a fantastic Value stock.” — ▶ 4:00