Salesforce (CRM) Aktie: Kaufen oder nicht? — Finanz-YouTuber-Analyse

The YouTuber recommends buying Salesforce, stating it's priced too cheaply for its expected 10% to low-teens revenue growth per year, especially considering its AI agent business potential. He points to its strong revenue growth and consistent high margins, and its stake in Anthropic as a potential future value driver. He views it as a safer risk-reward profile compared to Service Now.

“The beautiful thing about Service Now and Salesforce stock is they trade way too cheap given their growth rates.” — ▶ 10:40

The YouTuber suggests Salesforce will be 'loved' by Wall Street in one to two years, as they will eventually understand how much the company will benefit from the AI wave. He implies that current market sentiment undervalues its AI potential.

“SoFi, oh my gosh, Salesforce, one to two years, they're going to love this one. And when I say they, I'm talking Wall Street again, right?” — ▶ 30:30

The YouTuber suggests that the recent sell-off in software stocks like Sales Force is an overreaction driven by sentiment rather than fundamentals. They argue that companies are deeply integrated into platforms like Sales Force, making short-term replacement difficult due to high switching costs and long-term contracts. The underlying fundamentals, such as revenues, cash flow, and margins, remain stable, presenting a unique buying opportunity at historically favorable valuations.

“Denes, einer der einflussreichsten Technologieanalysten in der Wall Street, bezeichnet den aktuellen Ausverkauf der Software Werte als einzigartige Chance. Er betont, dass Unternehmenskunden viel zu tief in Plattform wie Sales Force oder Service integriert sind, als dass sie diese kurzfristig ersetzen könnten.” — ▶ Clip ansehen

The analyst suggests avoiding Salesforce despite its attractive valuation due to uncertainty surrounding its ability to transition from a seat-based to a usage-based model. While its Agent Force product is growing, it's not enough to offset the drag from legacy seat-based revenue. The company also took on significant debt for share buybacks, which could be a drag if revenue re-acceleration doesn't materialize quickly. A reverse DCF analysis implies very low future growth expectations are priced in.

“But you better believe that the company can execute and grow Agent Force faster than it loses revenue on its traditional seatbased platform for it to be worth it.” — ▶ Clip ansehen