Felix & Friends (Goat Academy): analisi azionarie e scelte

The YouTuber strongly advises against holding the S&P 500 index, arguing that while the overall index may be at all-time highs, it masks a significant divergence between winning and losing sectors. He contends that holding the S&P 500 means actively destroying returns by owning underperforming companies alongside winners, and that a 'buy and hold' strategy is outdated in the current market rotation.

“So, if you own the S&P, um even diversified ETFs and so on, you are actively destroying your returns by owning these.” — ▶ 27:40

The YouTuber recommends Freeport-McMoRan (FCX), calling copper the 'new oil' due to its critical role in the modern economy, especially in EVs, solar, wind, and data centers. He points to a projected million-metric-ton deficit in the copper market and FCX's position as the closest pure-play copper company, suggesting it will benefit significantly from rising demand and shrinking supply.

“My stock pick here is, and again, don't bl these things blindly obviously uh read the report. come and join us on Saturday and learn is FCX. It's called Freeport McMuran.” — ▶ 14:20

The YouTuber suggests Cameco (CCJ) as a buy, highlighting uranium's strong performance and increasing demand due to global nuclear expansion, especially for AI data centers. He emphasizes that CCJ, as the world's largest uranium producer, is well-positioned to supply this critical fuel, which the US has classified as a national security asset.

“My stock pick there is Kamiko. CCJ is the ticker symbol and it's flying under the radar. Uranium is up 21% compared to a year ago. The world's going nuclear, right?” — ▶ 12:20

The YouTuber strongly advises avoiding DFEN, a 3x leveraged defense ETF, for long-term investing. He explains that despite the sector being up, DFEN is down due to 'path decay,' a characteristic of leveraged ETFs that reset daily, causing losses over time even if the underlying trend is positive. He states these are designed for short-term traders, not buy-and-hold investors.

“So, don't use leverage defense or leverage ETFs rather for buy and hold investing. They're designed for short-term traders.” — ▶ 38:50

The YouTuber argues SpaceX is a generational opportunity due to its massive total addressable market in space, connectivity (Starlink), and AI (space-based data centers). Structural factors like tax disincentives for early investors to sell, the ability to borrow against shares, and Nasdaq's rule changes forcing index funds to buy will create a 'structural squeeze' post-IPO, driving the stock significantly higher.

“If you get even a few hundred shares at IPO price, and the squeeze plays out the way I think it might, there is some upside here.” — ▶ Guarda clip

The analyst advises avoiding SpaceX's IPO due to the typical dynamics of such offerings, where early investors cash out, creating 'exit liquidity' for retail investors. He highlights the risk of a significant price dip around the six-month lockup period expiration, citing historical examples like Uber and WeWork. While acknowledging SpaceX's strong fundamentals and long-term potential, he believes the initial IPO valuation will be too high for substantial short-term retail gains.

“The IPO is not designed to make you money. It is designed to make the early investors rich.” — ▶ 04:50

The YouTuber recommends Fortinet, a cybersecurity company, arguing that AI advancements are making cyber threats more dangerous, leading to increased cybersecurity budgets. Fortinet's custom chips provide a competitive advantage, and its recurring subscription revenue model is attractive. The stock has recently pulled back and is now at a 'perfect entry moment' according to technical patterns.

“For me, this is pretty much perfect moment.” — ▶ 20:00

The YouTuber suggests buying the XSSW ETF if it breaks above $160, based on the 'rubber band effect' theory. He argues that software stocks have been heavily shorted due to the 'AI will kill software' narrative, creating an extreme lopsided positioning. A break above this resistance level would signal the start of a short squeeze and forced buying, leading to a rapid upward movement.

“And right now, we're at that same point again. And that point sits at basically $160. We break above that. It changes things.” — ▶ 10:40

The YouTuber suggests Broadcom (AVGO) as a key player in the chip sector, particularly for custom AI chips supplied to major tech companies. He emphasizes that money is flowing into this area due to the massive spending on data centers and AI infrastructure, making AVGO a strong beneficiary.

“My pick in in in all of those industries would be first of all chips. Yeah. Broadcom, AVGO, huge company, children and a half market cap. They supply custom AI chips to the biggest, you know, Microsofts and Amazons and so on on the planet.” — ▶ 20:50

The YouTuber recommends TotalEnergies (TTE), noting that energy is the top-performing sector in the S&P 500. He argues that inflation, largely driven by energy costs, benefits companies that produce energy. TTE is highlighted as a diversified energy giant with strong money flow into its stock.

“The stock here I would look at is TTE, total energies. Energy overall is up about 20 odd percent so far this year. It's the number one performing sector in the entire S&P.” — ▶ 16:50

The YouTuber recommends Newmont (NEM) as a blue-chip gold miner, citing gold's role as an inflation hedge and increased central bank buying. He notes that gold miners, particularly NEM as the largest, tend to outperform the metal itself during such periods, indicating strong underlying fundamentals and market momentum.

“A stock I like is called NEM new because gold's at, you know, 4,700 or something. It's up almost 50% in the last year.” — ▶ 10:00

The YouTuber identifies Compass Pathways (CMPS) as a speculative buy, operating in the mental healthcare sector with its psilocybin therapy (COMP360) for treatment-resistant depression and PTSD. Despite currently having no revenue or margins, the company is in early-stage clinical trials, representing a potential 'textbook innovation curve' play. The thesis is that the stock is currently out of favor after an initial hype cycle, presenting an opportunity for long-term investors willing to take on high risk.

“They developed comp 360, which is a psilocybin therapy that completes phase 2 clinical trials for the treatment of treatment resistant depression and is in phase two clinical trials for the treatment of post-traumatic stress disorder.” — ▶ 19:00

The YouTuber suggests buying Compass Pathways as a calculated speculation due to its potential for significant returns if its drug, COMP360, receives FDA approval in late 2026 or early 2027. He highlights the large addressable market for treatment-resistant depression and the company's advanced stage in clinical trials, making it the furthest along in the psychedelic therapy space. Despite current lack of sales and patent uncertainty, the potential for a 4-8x gain based on Johnson & Johnson's similar drug success makes it an attractive, albeit risky, opportunity.

“If Compass got anywhere near to like Johnson Johnson and Johnson's numbers because Johnson and Johnson is guiding to for 5 billion sales a year, you'd be looking at well some pretty crazy stuff right now.” — ▶ 10:00

The YouTuber labels Palantir as a 'trap' for the counter-drone theme, despite acknowledging it as a good business with strong sales growth and margins. He argues that Palantir provides general AI tools, not specific counter-drone hardware or software, and the Cuba narrative won't significantly impact its $300 billion market cap. He advises seeking direct exposure to counter-drone companies instead of indirect plays.

“So don't buy indirect exposure when you can buy direct exposure because you want to be in the counter drone defense thing. Go for the companies that actually make the counter drone systems, not just someone who sort of sits on the sidelines.” — ▶ 41:00

The YouTuber previously recommended Redwire, which has seen significant gains. He suggests buying on a pullback, implying continued upside potential as part of the broader space industry growth, particularly with the upcoming SpaceX IPO.

“If you didn't get into these, I would buy these only on a pullback.” — ▶ Guarda clip

The analyst suggests Redwire as a 'picks and shovels' play in the space industry, building essential hardware for satellites, space stations, and lunar missions. The company has strong government contracts and is positioned to benefit from the increasing space buildout, with potential catalysts from commercial space station projects. Technical analysis indicates a potential breakout above recent highs, supported by institutional buying.

“This is a $2 billion company. This could become a $20 billion company. It's quite feasible, right?” — ▶ 12:50

The YouTuber is highly excited about 10X Genomics, a leader in spatial biology that allows scientists to understand individual cells at a molecular level, potentially revolutionizing disease treatment. He highlights its strong cash position, decent margins, and improving profitability as a turnaround story. The upcoming launch of their Xaira platform and partnership with Bio Optimus for AI integration are expected to significantly expand their addressable market, offering tremendous upside if the turnaround continues.

“But, if it works, the opportunity could be tremendous. And that's why it's my favorite.” — ▶ 45:50

The YouTuber recommends MKS Instruments, a company that provides precision instruments for semiconductor manufacturing. They argue that as semiconductor investment goes parabolic globally, MKS, which sells into every major chip fab, is well-positioned. The business is cyclical, but currently at a turning point with accelerating semiconductor equipment orders, and its valuation is reasonable.

“So the bull case is very simple. Semiconductor investing is going parabolic. Every country wants their own chip fabs.” — ▶ 24:50

The YouTuber recommends avoiding WPP, the world's largest advertising company, as it falls within the 'advertising' industry, which is down 29%. He highlights that WPP's stock is down two-thirds, indicating significant value destruction for investors holding it, particularly within index funds.

“Advertising is down 29%. WPP, world's largest advertising company, is down 2/3.” — ▶ 29:30

The YouTuber suggests avoiding companies like Booz Allen Hamilton, placing them in the 'professional services' industry which is down 30%. He argues that AI, specifically Claude, can now perform tasks previously handled by consultants, making such companies less necessary and therefore vulnerable to decline.

“companies like Boo Allen uh Bruce Allen are down 50%.” — ▶ 28:40

The YouTuber advises avoiding Nike, citing its significant decline (down 54%) and its position within a struggling industry (shoe manufacturing, down 37%). He attributes this to the impact of negative real wages on consumer-facing industries, suggesting that companies like Nike are particularly vulnerable.

“shoe manufacturing, it's down 37%, Nike being the uh the horror show there down 54%.” — ▶ 28:00

The YouTuber advises avoiding Drone Shield Limited, an Australian micro-cap pure-play in drones, due to its illiquidity and low trading volume. While it benefits from the drone theme, he warns that its thin trading means significant bid-ask spreads, making it difficult to enter or exit meaningful positions without moving the market against oneself, and introduces Australian dollar currency risk.

“It's terribly illiquid. So you're going to the difference between the price you are buying and the price someone's selling at is huge, which means when you're getting out of it, you're not going to get what you think it's worth.” — ▶ 46:00

The YouTuber advises avoiding Rheinmetall for the specific counter-drone theme, despite its strong financial performance from the Ukraine war. He notes it's a German company listed in Frankfurt, with no clear catalyst from the US-specific Cuba counter-drone narrative. He also mentions currency risk for US investors and plateauing European defense spending as reasons for avoidance in this context.

“The Cuba counter drone narrative is a US-specific catalyst. So whether you love Rin Metal or you hate it, doesn't matter. They're not going to benefit directly.” — ▶ 44:00

The YouTuber recommends Axon, known for police body cameras and tasers, as a way to gain exposure to the counter-drone theme without pure-play risk. He highlights its acquisition of a counter-drone company and the 300% growth in that division last year, alongside its stable recurring revenue from police departments. Although the stock isn't cheap, its core business provides a solid foundation.

“So, you're getting exposure to the counter drone theme, but you're not taking a pure play risk at it because you know they're going to get that police revenue every single month, right?” — ▶ 18:50

Voyager is building the Starlab commercial space station in partnership with Airbus, positioning itself to replace the International Space Station after its decommissioning. The company also has defense contracts providing stable revenue, allowing it to fund its space ventures without burning excessive cash. The analyst notes a technical setup with the stock repeatedly hitting resistance, suggesting a breakout could lead to significant upside, potentially reclaiming all-time highs.

“If we break out of this meaningfully on the back of the excitement around SpaceX, there is a very decent chance this stock could go much much higher and we could actually reclaim potentially its all-time highs which in itself will be about 80% up.” — ▶ 17:40

The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) is recommended as a 'boring' but effective way to gain exposure to SpaceX. Due to recent Nasdaq rule changes, SpaceX will be added to the index within 15 days of its IPO and overweighted due to its small float, forcing QQQ to automatically buy SpaceX shares. This allows investors to benefit from the 'squeeze' without active trading.

“If you own QQQ, the index is automatically buying SpaceX for you. So, you get the squeeze without trying to time the squeeze.” — ▶ Guarda clip

The YouTuber recently bought Tenable, a cybersecurity company focused on 'exposure management' by identifying vulnerabilities before hackers. He believes the market is underpricing the cybersecurity tailwind, especially with the exponential growth of AI-related attack surfaces. He notes the stock is recovering from a significant drop, showing signs of institutional money inflow, and sees an asymmetric risk-reward given its current valuation compared to its potential in a growing market.

“Because I believe the market is underpricing the cybersecurity tailwind. I can start to see the money pouring into it. So, I see an asymmetric risk reward.” — ▶ 39:50

The YouTuber suggests Compass Minerals (CMP) as a buy, highlighting its position as a hard asset play in salt and specialty fertilizers, which are in constant demand and not susceptible to AI disruption. The company owns significant assets like a salt mine in Ontario and a potash operation in Utah, providing a strong moat. Catalysts include rising fertilizer prices, recent positive earnings, and institutional money inflows, with the company's balance sheet improving after debt restructuring.

“They mine salt, the stuff we put on roads in the winter, the stuff that food companies uses. And there is always demand for that. And they also mine specialtity fertilizers, something called sulfate or potachsh, which is the kind of thing you put on premium crops.” — ▶ 21:00

The YouTuber suggests Compass Minerals, a company that mines salt and specialty fertilizers. They highlight the consistent demand for salt and the higher margins for specialty fertilizers. The company holds hard assets (mines) which are becoming more attractive in a rapidly changing world. Despite recent struggles and debt restructuring, the stock is out of favor and showing signs of institutional money inflow, with fertilizer prices rising.

“I'm liking it again wouldn't bet the farm on it but I'm liking it for that reason and I'm also liking it because it isn't an AI stock.” — ▶ 22:50

The YouTuber recommends D-Wave (QBTS) as a potentially safer quantum stock due to its focus on quantum annealing for optimization problems, which is a technology that works today with 135 customers. The company boasts software-like gross margins (65%) despite manufacturing complex hardware, indicating pricing power. An upcoming investor day in June and a strong cash position (eight years of cash on hand) are cited as catalysts.

“What I like about D-Wave is that they're producing software margins while they're manufacturing a incredibly complicated hardware. So their gross margin here, which is sort of their moat indicator, you know, how easy is it to replace them, is the 65% range.” — ▶ 14:50

The YouTuber suggests Unity Software, which provides an engine for game development and AR experiences, is potentially undervalued after an 87% decline from its highs. He notes its new AI tools and streamlining efforts towards profitability. He observes the stock appears to have bottomed around $17.50 and could be poised for a meaningful rally.

“And what are you seeing again, it appears to have bottomed out around $17.50, which is pretty much the same level we were at the previous year 2025, 2026, and we seem to actually be looking at potentially a meaningful rally here.” — ▶ 18:50

The YouTuber recommends Big Bear AI (BBAI) as a speculative buy, noting its involvement in AI analytics for defense, national security, and supply chain, benefiting from both AI compute spending and war spending. Expected catalysts include new government contracts due to increased NATO rearming and a pivot towards US AI vendors for national security. Despite volatile margins and a small float, the company's setup is compared to Palantir's early growth, with potential for a 10x return.

“They're sitting here and there are two money flows that are the biggest money flows you've got right now. One is AI compute spending. If I could write AI, even two letters are too much for an ex banker. And war spending, they get money from both of those.” — ▶ 24:00

The YouTuber likes Big Bear AI (BBAI) despite its 'AI' name, noting it's down significantly from all-time highs. He highlights its role in providing AI software for the US military and federal agencies, benefiting from growing defense budgets for AI. He observes the stock appears to have bottomed around $3 and is showing early signs of moving up.

“And what are we seeing? Well, we're seeing a stock that seems to bottom out around $3 and is actually moving back up.” — ▶ 17:20

The YouTuber recommends MasTec (MTZ), specializing in infrastructure construction, power lines, and pipelines. He links this to the ongoing construction boom in the US, driven by initiatives like the Chips Act and the Inflation Reduction Act, which will fund infrastructure projects for decades.

“One stock here to look at, maybe write these down, is Maztech, take a symbol MTZ. They specialize in infrastructure, construction, power lines, pipelines, that kind of stuff.” — ▶ 25:40

The YouTuber suggests RTX (formerly Raytheon) as a more conservative defense blue-chip company. He believes it is on the 'right side of the money rotation' due to increased global defense spending and NATO commitments, despite its more modest gains compared to other picks.

“A little bit more conservative would be RTX. Used to be called Rathon. Massive company. Defense blue chip company. basically only up about 69%.” — ▶ 24:20

The YouTuber recommends Rocket Lab (RKLB) for its role in space launch and defense technology, noting its significant growth (up 2700%). He connects this to increased NATO spending and global rearmament, positioning RKLB as a beneficiary of the defense sector's massive backlogs and future spending.

“Where would I rocket lab? RKLB hits up 2,79% from this 2700%. Yeah, it's a 40 billion company. They do space launch and defense technology.” — ▶ 23:40

The YouTuber suggests Celestica (CLS) as a company involved in electronic manufacturing, specifically making hardware for cloud and AI infrastructure. He highlights its substantial growth (up 700%) as evidence of its strong position in a booming sector driven by technological advancements.

“Another one is worth mentioning is Celestica, ticker symbol CLS. They do basically electronic manufacturing stuff. So, they make the hardware that powers the cloud and the AI infrastructure massively up 700%.” — ▶ 22:30

The YouTuber recommends Seagate (STX) for data storage, identifying it as a massive winner in the infrastructure boom. He notes its significant market cap and its role in supporting the cloud and AI infrastructure, which requires substantial data storage solutions.

“Another stock I think really worth hooking up, we talked about this before, is Seagate, ticker symbol STX. data storage.” — ▶ 22:00

The YouTuber mentions Southern Copper (SCCO) as another well-positioned company in the copper sector, similar to FCX. He suggests it as an alternative or additional consideration for investors looking to capitalize on the strong demand and deficit in the copper market.

“Southern Copper. The ticker there is SECO. That's about 160 billion. It's bigger. Uh also well positioned I think.” — ▶ 16:00

The YouTuber recommends ATAI Life Sciences as a 'diversified play' in the psychedelic therapy market. Unlike Compass, ATAI has five drugs in clinical development, offering a broader pipeline and potentially safer bet due to diversification. It also has partial exposure to Compass through a stake and licensing agreement, and is backed by Peter Thiel. While currently pre-revenue and with patent protection varying by compound, its platform approach makes it an interesting, high-risk speculation.

“ATI is the platform bet. They're a clinical stage biotech company built like a venture portfolio. Not one drug, not two drugs, not three drugs, not four drugs. No, they have five drugs that are in clinical development.” — ▶ 16:00

The YouTuber suggests Elbit Systems, an Israeli defense company with diverse offerings including unmanned aircraft and countermeasure systems, as a potential opportunity. He notes its decent business fundamentals, growing dividends, and combat-validated systems, despite a 25% pullback from its peak. He advises watching for a rebound, similar to past buying opportunities when it touched its longer-term trend line.

“Right now it could be setting up for another opportunity. So I want to make sure that I'm watching this. It's a little early, but I want to make sure I'm watching it. I want to wait for the rebound.” — ▶ 32:50

The YouTuber recommends Kratos, a developer of unmanned aerial systems and hypersonic weapons, as a higher-risk, higher-potential opportunity. Despite a 60% drop from its highs, the business is growing with a $2 billion backlog and stable margins. He suggests adding it to a watchlist and waiting for a clear rebound as the counter-drone sector gains attention.

“So when the business is doing well and the market is pricing it for disaster, you have an opportunity. We don't buy it yet. We wait for the money to start pouring in.” — ▶ 29:50

The YouTuber suggests buying XAR, a defense ETF, as a foundational investment in the counter-drone theme. He notes its diversified holdings, including smaller specialized companies, which could capture more upside from the emerging counter-drone catalyst. While currently early, he advises waiting for a clear breakout above recent highs or the $200 mark for a higher probability entry.

“I like XR for the reason that if you go back into the wind snap here with all the ETFs and all the stocks and all our research and everything else in there, they are not just holding the big boys, right?” — ▶ 14:00

The YouTuber highlights that ServiceNow is being bought by politicians with insider knowledge, its CEO, and even the President, suggesting a strong belief in its future. Despite a recent 50% stock drop due to 'SaaS apocalypse' fears, the company is transforming into an AI platform, with its AI product growing rapidly and a shift to a consumption-based pricing model. Fundamentals show strong revenue growth, cash generation, and high customer retention, with a forward P/E of 14.8 making it appear undervalued compared to its growth prospects.

“Wall Street sees AI as a threat. Service Now sees AI as the biggest growth opportunity in its history. And so far the numbers indicate that they might just be right.” — ▶ 20:00

The YouTuber suggests buying Regetti Computing due to its ownership of a quantum chip fabrication facility, which provides vertical integration and control over technology. Upcoming catalysts include a new chip launch (Lyra), a $100 million UK government contract, an $8 million India contract, and Nvidia platform integration. Despite current low revenue and cash, the company's R&D investment and unique fabrication process position it for potential significant growth.

“They own their own fab. They have a quantum chip fabrication facility which most of the competitors don't. That means they own the technology sort of Tesla style, right? You vertically integrate and they got a new chip coming out later this year called Lyra.” — ▶ 12:50

TSMC is positioned as a key supplier for SpaceX's new AI chip, the AI 5, as they manufacture nearly all advanced chips. This makes them a critical component of the AI side of SpaceX's business, which the YouTuber believes is significantly undervalued by Wall Street.

“Every SpaceX chip will go through their factory. They're the most dominant company in the market in the world.” — ▶ Guarda clip

The YouTuber considers Oracle an underestimated AI story, building essential cloud infrastructure for AI models and data centers. He points to accelerating revenue growth, 40% insider ownership, significant R&D and data center investments, and a $500 billion order backlog, including from OpenAI. While acknowledging debt, he sees Oracle as building the 'highway for AI' but notes execution risk.

“But, the way I think about it is that these guys are basically building the highway for AI.” — ▶ 27:50

The speaker notes Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) for its strong revenue growth and cash generation in recent quarters. He identifies the same 'heartbeat pattern' on WPM's chart, suggesting it is setting up for a move, and is waiting for the pattern to complete before buying.

“And again, WPM has the same pattern that I look for. Not quite where I wanted to be yet, but setting itself up in my humble opinion.” — ▶ 25:20

The speaker highlights FNV, a gold royalty company, for its impressive 88% revenue growth and solid numbers. He observes his 'famous pattern' on the stock chart, indicating that selling is fizzling out, and is waiting for the pattern to complete before considering a purchase.

“I'm seeing my famous pattern, right? Still not where I wanted to be, but I'm seeing the selling fizzling out.” — ▶ 24:00

The speaker identifies Agnico Eagle Mines as a gold miner with a strong profit margin ($3,300 per ounce) given current gold prices. He notes a 'heartbeat pattern' on the chart, suggesting the stock is in the late stages of selling and setting up for a rally, though he is waiting for the pattern to complete before buying.

“But for me, that's exactly what I'm looking for here.” — ▶ 22:40

The YouTuber suggests GH Research as a 'technology bet' in the psychedelic therapy sector, focusing on a compound that could enable much shorter treatment sessions (30 minutes vs. 6-8 hours). This efficiency could lead to faster commercial adoption and higher patient throughput for clinics. Although it's a pre-revenue biotech with a single compound focus, making it higher risk, the potential for operational leverage in a clinical setting makes it an interesting speculation.

“To take the GH drug, if it works, it's potentially a 30 minute session. So, if you're a clinic, do you want to sell a drug that takes like 6 hours to deliver or 30 minutes to deliver? What do you think?” — ▶ 17:30

The YouTuber suggests L3 Harris, specializing in electronic warfare and sensors, as a potential buy. He notes its strong earnings, improving margins, and cash flow, despite a recent stock pullback. He advises waiting for the stock to hit at least $320 and show more buying volume before considering an entry.

“I'd like to see it at least hit 320 before I'd even think about buying this. And I'd like to see a bit more buying happening here.” — ▶ 24:50

Orbit International is a micro-cap company designing and manufacturing mission-critical electronic components and power units for defense contractors and aerospace. They produce rugged human-machine interface devices and reliable power supplies for military aircraft, naval vessels, and space applications. The analyst sees it as a highly speculative, asymmetric opportunity due to its small size, potential for significant revenue growth, and the increasing demand for military-grade components in space.

“It is the kind of asometric opportunity that I potentially love.” — ▶ 23:00

Amkor, a chip packaging company, is a crucial part of the AI chip supply chain, having built a factory near TSMC's Arizona facility. This strategic positioning suggests it will benefit from the increased demand for advanced chip components, including those for SpaceX's AI initiatives.

“Amkor just built a factory 7 miles from TSMC's Arizona facility, which isn't a coincidence. That's the supply chain reorganizing in real time.” — ▶ Guarda clip

Intel is expected to benefit from the shift towards agentic AI, which increases demand for CPUs. Despite being 'beaten up' for a decade, the YouTuber sees its recent doubling as potentially the first leg of a larger move, driven by its role in the AI chip supply chain for companies like SpaceX.

“Intel is the CPU monopoly, essentially... It's potentially this is the first leg. It's not the last leg, right? There's there's space here.” — ▶ Guarda clip

The YouTuber describes Dynatrace as the 'air traffic control for AI,' monitoring and managing AI systems to prevent issues like hallucinations or crashes. He highlights their strong cash generation, high margins, lack of debt, and a $1 billion share buyback program. While revenue growth is steady rather than explosive, he sees it as a 'slow compounder' with a decent business model.

“So, it's sort of a slow compounder. It's sort of like that steady grower. It's not your immediate moonshot.” — ▶ 34:50

The YouTuber identifies Northrop Grumman as a contrarian pick due to its oversold status, being down 30% from post-war highs. While not a 'buy now,' he suggests adding it to a watchlist because its low RSI indicates it's potentially oversold, presenting a future opportunity for a rebound.

“Now I wouldn't buy it quite yet at this level, but it's certainly something that deserves to be on our watch list for that simple reason that it's just very very oversold.” — ▶ 21:00

The YouTuber identifies New Scale (SMR) as a potential buy for a watch list, noting its unique position as the only company with US Nuclear Regulatory Commission design certification for small reactors, giving it a significant competitive advantage. Despite a large shareholder selling off a stake, which caused a price drop, the YouTuber sees this as a positive as it clears selling pressure. They observe increasing volume on recent recoveries, suggesting accumulation, but advise waiting for a clearer upward trend as it is still gently trending down.

“It's still trending down gently. So, it's still a little early, but it's definitely one for my watch list, which is where it sits right now.” — ▶ 15:50